Downsizing Blog
Business Subsidies and State Tax Climates
Including Emergency Spending in Fiscal Projections Distorts the CBO Baseline
Congress recently approved a $95 billion foreign aid package to send aid to Ukraine, Israel, and the Indo‐Pacific region. Including this new “one‐time” emergency spending in fiscal projections distorts the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) baseline.
The High Cost of War: Ukraine Aid Could Top $240 Billion
To date, the US has committed about $114 billion in Ukraine‐related emergency funding, equivalent to the combined 2023 budget for the Department of Homeland Security and NASA. Should Congress decide to pass additional emergency funding, Ukraine aid plus interest could top $240 billion.
The Threat of Fiscal Dominance: Will the US Resort to Money‐Printing to Finance the Rising Debt Challenge?
Medicare and Social Security Are Responsible for 100 Percent of US Unfunded Obligations
Biden’s Phony Deficit Reduction
President Biden’s new federal budget proposes high spending and huge deficits for years to come. The deficits are expected to boost government debt held by the public from $28 trillion this year to $45 trillion by 2034.
President Biden’s Proposed Budget
DC Purple Line Cost Overruns and Delays Continue
The Price of Shortsightedness: Emergency Spending’s $2 Trillion Interest Tab
New Emergency Spending Would Cost $28-$41 Billion More Than Incomplete Budget Score Suggests
Legislators and the public tend to underestimate the fiscal costs of emergency spending. Emergency supplemental bills, such as the Ukraine‐Israel foreign aid package, are often billed as one‐time, temporary costs. This framing obscures the tens of billions of dollars in interest costs generated by new deficit spending.